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Dec 4, 2012
12/12
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they said china would be it's second largest market. schultz talked about getting ip to the tea business. i mention all of this to understand that starbucks doesn't go in for idle chatter when it goes in for these meetings. it has a track record of following through on these plans. we want to know how the us business is doing. and you need to hear about international. europe, don't forget, green mountain, it has been huge. starbu starbuck's should tell us what it is going to do with it's cash. they have the cash to do it. i prefer them to grow with the money. this is a major bone of contention. i think it is good. the bears, they seem to think that the coffee could be played out. starbucks will tell us about the new juice store concept. maybe it will give us insight to what could end up being one of the three top markets for the company india. i can't wait to hear about the projections about india. and of course they need to address teavana. i thought this could be a terrific move. seem to be quite popular. the earnings as early at 2013
they said china would be it's second largest market. schultz talked about getting ip to the tea business. i mention all of this to understand that starbucks doesn't go in for idle chatter when it goes in for these meetings. it has a track record of following through on these plans. we want to know how the us business is doing. and you need to hear about international. europe, don't forget, green mountain, it has been huge. starbu starbuck's should tell us what it is going to do with it's cash....
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Dec 13, 2012
12/12
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how about companies that have marginal exposure to united states but much morale involved with china? you could see joy global keep its gains. that company's mining equipment is more dependent on china than a possibility slowing of the united states. we're cutting back on coal anyway. what's the most worry some thing on the whole decline? that this is really day one in recognition that the ceos were had here, the foils to james dean rebel without a cause triumph, and they are recognizing there is a cause. soak the rich with higher tax rates and cut nothing. cut nothing back, because the mandate, well, that was what the president thought he was elected on. to appropriate a little shakespeare, what fools these ceos be. the president, here is the way i summarized what they are thinking. president's rising above all right. rising above the cliff. they will fall off in the vicious game of chicken. bottom line, we have to hope history isn't repeating itself, that the market is beginning go down the path of the preceiling debacle, before we get crushed and get the deal. but if you remember t
how about companies that have marginal exposure to united states but much morale involved with china? you could see joy global keep its gains. that company's mining equipment is more dependent on china than a possibility slowing of the united states. we're cutting back on coal anyway. what's the most worry some thing on the whole decline? that this is really day one in recognition that the ceos were had here, the foils to james dean rebel without a cause triumph, and they are recognizing there...
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Dec 14, 2012
12/12
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opened 30 new stores in china. and there is a universality in gap that will resonate over there. and the results were pretty darn good. the company delivering 6% increase in same-store sales. driven by strength. and i think the strength is going to continue. in fact, i bet things get better in the first half of the year. why? how about the raw cost issue. high cost cotton, a big headwind for gap. the price of cotton declined dramatically and the company will lap double digit cotton price increases. cotton is a huge cost for gap. more so than any -- more so than most retailers. the savings from lower cotton prices represent a tailwind for the company. what we discovered with dollar general if gross margins are expanding, people like you, even if margins aren't as strong as we were true. gap sells 9% long term growth rate. buy the stock here and buy more if it goes lower as we approach the ugh-ugh. that's the new thing for fiscal cliff. two lines. anyway, gap is not getting credit it deserves. the recent pullback is a terrific buying opportunity, one you don't want to miss, at leas
opened 30 new stores in china. and there is a universality in gap that will resonate over there. and the results were pretty darn good. the company delivering 6% increase in same-store sales. driven by strength. and i think the strength is going to continue. in fact, i bet things get better in the first half of the year. why? how about the raw cost issue. high cost cotton, a big headwind for gap. the price of cotton declined dramatically and the company will lap double digit cotton price...
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Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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china's m.o. is this. they basically buy american companies, strip them of technology and ship the jobs to china. case in point would be brantley helicopter. used to be in texas. 2009 china buys it. now all the production facilities are in jindao. this is the problem. the promise to keep the plant going. now a-123 is interesting. they have cutting edge technology which will be exported to china. that's the bigger issue. one company at a time, larry, is going over to china, helping to build their industrial base. and the other thing -- >> hang on a second. this is an important point. ann lee, i'd like to get something from this. okay? if the u.s. foreign investment advisory board okays the deal, fine. but they counterfeit our goods. the chinese have a lot to answer for. shouldn't we make a deal? we let them buy the company but we should make a deal and they should somehow stop all the pirating of our technology? >> i think the chinese government is already trying to crack down on counterfeiting and other th
china's m.o. is this. they basically buy american companies, strip them of technology and ship the jobs to china. case in point would be brantley helicopter. used to be in texas. 2009 china buys it. now all the production facilities are in jindao. this is the problem. the promise to keep the plant going. now a-123 is interesting. they have cutting edge technology which will be exported to china. that's the bigger issue. one company at a time, larry, is going over to china, helping to build...
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Dec 13, 2012
12/12
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look at equities with a little bit of a china exposure because china is starting to bottom a little bit, we think, so that's where i would focus. the number one thing and the greatest clarity i have in 26 years in this business, stay away from interest rate sensitive bonds and stay away from bond funds, and that's what you need to be doing right this moment. >> so you go on equities then, all in in equities then? >> let me tell you, if you're going to be an investor for longer than two years, stay away. if you need fixed income, run away from interest rate sensitive bonds. >> what about the fiscal cliff, you think we get a deal by the end of next week? we going to get a deal? >> i don't see a long-term deal. >> it's pretty easy to come to that conclusion, brian, given the fact that they have had 13 months to discuss this and think about it and now we're down to 18 days to deal with medicare, medicaid and defense spending, what, social security, taxes. what else can we throw into the bucket? >> yeah. you can just throwing more and more in. i think it's clear that they won't be able to co
look at equities with a little bit of a china exposure because china is starting to bottom a little bit, we think, so that's where i would focus. the number one thing and the greatest clarity i have in 26 years in this business, stay away from interest rate sensitive bonds and stay away from bond funds, and that's what you need to be doing right this moment. >> so you go on equities then, all in in equities then? >> let me tell you, if you're going to be an investor for longer than...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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now you get china. if europe can stabilize, i think we can go much higher. >> how many days, if you add headline that monty was thinking about, going out and bursceloni was thinking about coming back. follow me on twitter. and "power lunch" begins right now. >> halftime is over. "power lunch" and second half of the trading day starts right now. >> and here we are. welcome to "power lunch." as you can see, we are beth here on the floor of the new york stock exchange. and stocks are higher as fiscal cliff song and dance continues in washington. mr. boehner says he is waiting for a proposal from this gentleman, the president. president obama. and the president is set to speak about the cliff and the a economy later today. >> i thought i was supposed to come here today. you thought you were supposed to come here today. so we are both here. not really, folks. a lot of talk today is about what investors should do if we go over the cliff. what should we do if there is a debt deal before year-end or shortly the
now you get china. if europe can stabilize, i think we can go much higher. >> how many days, if you add headline that monty was thinking about, going out and bursceloni was thinking about coming back. follow me on twitter. and "power lunch" begins right now. >> halftime is over. "power lunch" and second half of the trading day starts right now. >> and here we are. welcome to "power lunch." as you can see, we are beth here on the floor of the new...
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Dec 21, 2012
12/12
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where is that coming from because i see china coming back a little, maybe europe's done going down, we seem to be a little bit stalled. somebody's building something around this world. >> i think it's a matter of jabil being very competitive in the markets that we serve and having sufficient diversification so that if one part of our business, for instance networking or telecommunications may be going through a lull or a slower period with government spending and business spending, capital spending down, we have some other parts of our business that are doing extremely well. you mentioned some of the mechanics business we're involved in which we call our materials technology group. that has nothing to do with electronics so we don't have to sell any electronic hardware for those businesses to perform well. parts of our business really are a reflection of the economy and other parts of our business are growing very robustly. so i'm very hopeful for the balance of the year and, you know, i think the company is diversified enough to take advantage of whatever opportunities are out there.
where is that coming from because i see china coming back a little, maybe europe's done going down, we seem to be a little bit stalled. somebody's building something around this world. >> i think it's a matter of jabil being very competitive in the markets that we serve and having sufficient diversification so that if one part of our business, for instance networking or telecommunications may be going through a lull or a slower period with government spending and business spending,...
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Dec 10, 2012
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we had better data out of china last week. household net worth increased by $1.7 trillion which was a big number for the fed. it says the bernanke policies are working. in terms of clients what they're doing, obviously there's a lot of clouds on the horizon short-term. but longer term, it's positive. so right now towards the end of the year what we've been seeing is a lot of accounts looking to take out short positions and stocks that have been hef sli shorted. so you've seen stocks like sears holdings, jcpenney, hewlett-packard, facebook, all those types of stocks that have a high short interest. since there's not a lot of clarity outside in terms of the fiscal cliff, they're going after those shorts and pressing them to the table. [ overlapping speakers ] >> -- quality dividends. if you see volatility happening, it's going to strong balance sheets. buy stability, protection, fundamentals. >> and remember that every central bank in the world is full bore in the mote. it's just a matter of time when that velocity picks up. we
we had better data out of china last week. household net worth increased by $1.7 trillion which was a big number for the fed. it says the bernanke policies are working. in terms of clients what they're doing, obviously there's a lot of clouds on the horizon short-term. but longer term, it's positive. so right now towards the end of the year what we've been seeing is a lot of accounts looking to take out short positions and stocks that have been hef sli shorted. so you've seen stocks like sears...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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of china." serious question, do you think actual's doing this for politics or economics? >> actually both. but when you look at china, though, their manufacturing days are over. americans are less produmore pr less prone to strike -- >> are you sure american works are less prone to strike? we've reported on this show a whole bunch of strikes, including the hostess twinkie companies, the ports of los angeles and out on the west coast. we have obama in the white house. the unions are going whild here. in all seriousness, i don't think unions are any more placid here than they are in china. >> but in china, workers go out on wildcat strikes all the time. foxconn which manufactures about 97% of apple's products, they've been really subject to labor troubles, from suicides to strikes. so i think apple is starting to see that there are some really important economic reasons to manufacturing. they're not the only company doing that. >> is it robots they're going -- i was told that apple is going into a
of china." serious question, do you think actual's doing this for politics or economics? >> actually both. but when you look at china, though, their manufacturing days are over. americans are less produmore pr less prone to strike -- >> are you sure american works are less prone to strike? we've reported on this show a whole bunch of strikes, including the hostess twinkie companies, the ports of los angeles and out on the west coast. we have obama in the white house. the unions...
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Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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china is still positive in the fourth quarter. china is going to show a slow and steady improvement. so we need those. >> higher expectations stronger in the likes of taiwan, india and brazil. let's go back to where you say they're weakest. greece, italy, spain, the netherlands. this is a very weak feature, indeed. how bad in it? >> it's bad. the eurozone is the global economic problem now. if you look at asia where i just returned from, both countries are feeling optimistic. but they seem to be inwardly focused now by being a triangle of china, india, indonesia. we're not seeing a great benefit into europe as we did before. for instance, germany is looking pretty pessimistic. based on its lack of export performance to places like china. >> yeah. when the bundes bank came out and shortly downgraded forecasts, how is the employment picture? if you've got a relatively healthy china and the u.s. consumer bounce back, wouldn't that help germany? >> it certainly would. germany is relatively flat in terms of the employment outlook. so i
china is still positive in the fourth quarter. china is going to show a slow and steady improvement. so we need those. >> higher expectations stronger in the likes of taiwan, india and brazil. let's go back to where you say they're weakest. greece, italy, spain, the netherlands. this is a very weak feature, indeed. how bad in it? >> it's bad. the eurozone is the global economic problem now. if you look at asia where i just returned from, both countries are feeling optimistic. but...
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Dec 11, 2012
12/12
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it may have had room to run, more so from palladium and the positive data from china. back to you. >> sharon, thank you very much. breaking news to brian shactman, nfl bounty case. brian. >> nine months after this story broke, paul announced he's vacating all penalties on four players. they are exonerated. the key here is the players were not in favor of tagliabue doing this. spent three years, 50,000 pages of documents indicting players. they exonerated them. two of them might return to play this season. >> thank you very much, brian shactman. >> to nasdaq, bertha coombs following big movers there. we have the advance there as well. >> we do. nasdaq 100 outperforming thanks to apple's recovery. off of the highs of the day. nonetheless it is contributing about a third of the outside impact to the nasdaq 100. facebook will be added tomorrow. watch that going into the close. it will be trading in the nasdaq, emphasis trades over at nyc. yahoo! has a mobile app for mail. today at a four-year high. that stock continues momentum. couple of deal-based stocks, trip adviser wi
it may have had room to run, more so from palladium and the positive data from china. back to you. >> sharon, thank you very much. breaking news to brian shactman, nfl bounty case. brian. >> nine months after this story broke, paul announced he's vacating all penalties on four players. they are exonerated. the key here is the players were not in favor of tagliabue doing this. spent three years, 50,000 pages of documents indicting players. they exonerated them. two of them might...
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Dec 1, 2012
12/12
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we are waiting on china mobile. china mobile has more subscribers than americans in america. that could be the next stage of growth. >> if you had to bet higher or lower on apple. >> mike was right. i would say higher from here. it is reasonably priced. >> and the promise of a special dividend. >> a reminder as we head to break if you want updates be sure to follow us on twitter. dan posts regular updates of his trades on twitter. if you are on facebook stay posted throughout the week at facebook.com/optionsaction. and you don't want to miss it with thinkorswim by td ameritrade. you get knock-your-socks-off tools, simple one-click orders, real-time paper trading to hone your skills, plus anytime you need it support. ♪ stocks, options, futures, and forex. get your trading on track. thinkorswim by td ameritrade. trade commission free for 60 days, plus get up to $600 when you open an account. >>> that is our very own mike showing off his moves. you can create your own gangnam style video through jib jab. could be very scary stuff as you see and definitely in the category of op
we are waiting on china mobile. china mobile has more subscribers than americans in america. that could be the next stage of growth. >> if you had to bet higher or lower on apple. >> mike was right. i would say higher from here. it is reasonably priced. >> and the promise of a special dividend. >> a reminder as we head to break if you want updates be sure to follow us on twitter. dan posts regular updates of his trades on twitter. if you are on facebook stay posted...
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Dec 16, 2012
12/12
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. >> and will it be in china? will the iphone make it in china? >> i got up this morning and turned on cnbc. >> of course you did. >> one dude was at the shanghai store in line waiting for the iphone 5. >> there are a lot of pre-orders. but the question is, will they get china mobile? that's 80% of the smart phone users in china. that's a big question. >> how long have we been waiting for apple tv? >> we could be waiting for months more. >> john has the latest on a developing story between apple and walmart. john? >> yeah, melissa. big news today that kind of slipped under the radar. that's that walmart is discounting apple products way more than we could have expected. the iphone 5 starting today, the entry level iphone 5 down to $127. normally, at most outlets, $199. the new ipad, the fourth generation ipad, starting monday is going to be at $399, plus they'll throw in a $30 itunes gift card. i've been trying to make calls to figure out what the nature is of this promotion. what i gathered is this isn't something apple is pushing at all which pr
. >> and will it be in china? will the iphone make it in china? >> i got up this morning and turned on cnbc. >> of course you did. >> one dude was at the shanghai store in line waiting for the iphone 5. >> there are a lot of pre-orders. but the question is, will they get china mobile? that's 80% of the smart phone users in china. that's a big question. >> how long have we been waiting for apple tv? >> we could be waiting for months more. >> john...
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Dec 15, 2012
12/12
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china is overwhelmingly coal fired. they get another $5 million a year or so from trading in the space. what i would expect to see is some increasing of their mining revenues. >> two parts. the actual stock and the trade. >> i have no view on the stock. the fundamental picture that's set up in the relativeness to the shanghai i think is very interesting. i like the trade structure. if you're prepared to get along at 24, going to take some margin. >> it is. this is a trade that really gets the math working for you because you're short that put. if you're willing to buy the stock down there, it's a great way, no cost. nothing out-of-pocket to do that. >> one more time on the stocks verses options button. want to buy peabody, convinced it's a good china play? $28 a share. in mike's option, mike could be forced to buy it at $24 or about a 14% discount. we'll see carter later on in the show. got a question out there, send us a tweet at cnbc options. we'll answer it right after the show on our new website. yes, options action
china is overwhelmingly coal fired. they get another $5 million a year or so from trading in the space. what i would expect to see is some increasing of their mining revenues. >> two parts. the actual stock and the trade. >> i have no view on the stock. the fundamental picture that's set up in the relativeness to the shanghai i think is very interesting. i like the trade structure. if you're prepared to get along at 24, going to take some margin. >> it is. this is a trade that...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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numbers came out saturday for china. i think italy has been remarkably good. so this was a big game changer. italy had been a part of the good story of european recovery. now it's back. >> all to monti was never intended to be there for the long term. >> sure. >> in fact, he may be leaving a month earlier than originally planned. this should not be a surprise in the larger context. while we may mention berlusconi's name right now, he's not expected to win. >> look, we knew that monti was successful. >> it may be whoever follows him is going to roll some of the gains that he's had. so-called gains. >> that's going to cause ripples here. look, on saturday night, i said, we're going to have a nice opening. china's good, people know that monti is not really going to hurt italy. i think if china continues the momentum, but the number -- >> the ex sports were less than expected in the month of november. which is a concern. then there's this perverse glass half full, that some data comes in lower, it might fuel the case for sti
numbers came out saturday for china. i think italy has been remarkably good. so this was a big game changer. italy had been a part of the good story of european recovery. now it's back. >> all to monti was never intended to be there for the long term. >> sure. >> in fact, he may be leaving a month earlier than originally planned. this should not be a surprise in the larger context. while we may mention berlusconi's name right now, he's not expected to win. >> look, we...
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Dec 19, 2012
12/12
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/china relationship? >> well, i think that it's a little too early to tell that this is symptomatic of the new administration. but i do expect that there will be progress in certain areas. china has been asking the u.s. to lift restrictions on high-tech exports. and i gather that the obama administration is consider something kind of overhaul of the current restrictions. so there might be some change there was benefit to china. and on the u.s. side, the u.s. would like china to lift restrictions on imports of livestock. and it looks like china is willing to do that on a gradual basis. so i think that there would be some positives coming out of these meetings today and tomorrow. >> and lastly, frank, what would be the most significant policy move period to come from this. again, aside from the news we've already heard about the import duties, are you looking for any big-name tie-ups, or is this about meeting and shaking hands, especially because the u.s. leadership still isn't settled, erkts speci especial
/china relationship? >> well, i think that it's a little too early to tell that this is symptomatic of the new administration. but i do expect that there will be progress in certain areas. china has been asking the u.s. to lift restrictions on high-tech exports. and i gather that the obama administration is consider something kind of overhaul of the current restrictions. so there might be some change there was benefit to china. and on the u.s. side, the u.s. would like china to lift...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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but first we go under the radar for china. what new data beyond the great wall is suggesting about investment opportunities there. those stories and much more coming up on halftime. >> i think you know we upgrayed our exposure to china last week, so i kind of agree with some of the comments just made, the recent data reports look better in china. they have really outperformed. therefore that latter group is cheap. so we like increasing china exposure. >> that was morgan stanley's adam parker, one of the biggest bears on the street getting bullish right here on kwf hattime." jane ulrich joins us now with her 2013 outlook. it's nice to see you again. welcome. >> thank you very much. >> is it just me or has sentiment seemed to change better? >> absolutely. yes, indeed. i think november was actually the inflexion report for the chinese market and kmchinese economy. if you look at the data, pmi data are more positive. industrial production is up. retail sales are bouncing back. but more importantly i've been speaking to a lot of co
but first we go under the radar for china. what new data beyond the great wall is suggesting about investment opportunities there. those stories and much more coming up on halftime. >> i think you know we upgrayed our exposure to china last week, so i kind of agree with some of the comments just made, the recent data reports look better in china. they have really outperformed. therefore that latter group is cheap. so we like increasing china exposure. >> that was morgan stanley's...
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Dec 31, 2012
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china appears to be stabilizing and the rest of the emerging markets are growing. more demand for export business. number two, corporations are sitting on $1.5 trillion of cash. they have a lot of cash. they just need to know how to spend it based on overall tax policy. and number three, if you look at equipment and plant equipment in america today, the inventory is old and due reinvestment and upgrades. there's a lot of pent up demand for investment spending. >> there have been a few bright spots in our economy anyway. i think of housing, which has been in recovery mode right now. does that continue in 2013 even if we do see this -- some sort of resolution of the fiscal cliff and what it could do to paychecks and jobs in the economy? >> the offset is that people look at the value of their houses and start feeling better. one-third of household wealth is the value of their house and if they start seeing prices stabilize and appreciating, that could offset some pullback in overall consumer spending. >> where will we make money then, do you think? >> my sense is emer
china appears to be stabilizing and the rest of the emerging markets are growing. more demand for export business. number two, corporations are sitting on $1.5 trillion of cash. they have a lot of cash. they just need to know how to spend it based on overall tax policy. and number three, if you look at equipment and plant equipment in america today, the inventory is old and due reinvestment and upgrades. there's a lot of pent up demand for investment spending. >> there have been a few...
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Dec 12, 2012
12/12
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and the non china business. and they reiterated their positive views on the stock. $17 what the stock is now. so now you know what we've got. we have a genuine home spun face off with a pack of bears duking it out against a whole posy of bulls. which group is right about yum? sell sell sell. we know the business is turned around. taco bell, haven't been there lately? hearing good things. all of the overseas business is still growing like crazy. the chinese business is so big that it accounts for 45% of the company's profits. the latest decline of the same store sales is permanent. they got sick of kentucky fried chicken and pizza hut. it seems as if the colonel may have gotten busted down to private. and i'm calling it a bump but a severe bump in the road. it is true that they are facing margin pressure. the so called tier one cities. 4% decline in same store sales is not a good thing. and there is no doubt newfound competition among chicken houses. however, yum is dealing, you know with the first issue by shift
and the non china business. and they reiterated their positive views on the stock. $17 what the stock is now. so now you know what we've got. we have a genuine home spun face off with a pack of bears duking it out against a whole posy of bulls. which group is right about yum? sell sell sell. we know the business is turned around. taco bell, haven't been there lately? hearing good things. all of the overseas business is still growing like crazy. the chinese business is so big that it accounts...
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Dec 12, 2012
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they love coal in china. i don't want to make a judgment on whether that's -- but they are huge coal plant builders there. huge. >> an important one to watch. we'll talk about a bunch more after the break. what does goldman have to say about the state of the economy. we'll get that exclusive a little bit later in the show. costco, as we said, set to open higher after that better than expected number. will other retailers follow suit. we'll get the answer when the opening bell rings in just about 4 1/2 minutes. if you think running a restaurant is hard, try running four. fortunately we've got ink. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back into our business. this is the only thing we've ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. make your mark with ink from ch [ male announcer ] this is steve. he loves risk. but whether he's climbing everest, scuba diving the great barrier reef with sharks, or jumping into the market, he goes with
they love coal in china. i don't want to make a judgment on whether that's -- but they are huge coal plant builders there. huge. >> an important one to watch. we'll talk about a bunch more after the break. what does goldman have to say about the state of the economy. we'll get that exclusive a little bit later in the show. costco, as we said, set to open higher after that better than expected number. will other retailers follow suit. we'll get the answer when the opening bell rings in...
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Dec 4, 2012
12/12
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is china your best bet in 2013? joining us is chief china equity strategist at goldman sachs. always great to speak with you. >> those pmi numbers seven-month high. fourth month gain. it is the longest streak in more than a year for the chinese currency and the stock market lowest level since 2009. what is telling the true story? >> well, i think obviously we are seeing pretty reasewassurin cyclical signs and the market is reacting more. there has been a big divergence in terms of performance. the reason the asian market is not turning so much is because it is less correlated to the global market. and secondly i think it is just not only focusing on structural reform issues more but more bearish on the cyclical outlook. those are probably some of the key differences. we think that tha asia market guys are a little too bearish on the cyclical and reform side. we think that 2013 returns will be a little higher for a versus for h. >> you have introduced with your most recent note at the end of november a reform basket of stocks. can you walk us through what that means? >> over th
is china your best bet in 2013? joining us is chief china equity strategist at goldman sachs. always great to speak with you. >> those pmi numbers seven-month high. fourth month gain. it is the longest streak in more than a year for the chinese currency and the stock market lowest level since 2009. what is telling the true story? >> well, i think obviously we are seeing pretty reasewassurin cyclical signs and the market is reacting more. there has been a big divergence in terms of...
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Dec 26, 2012
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it's like owning a piece of the great wall of china. you want to be in them when the great wall is crumbling. such a pervasive worry that i've seen down grades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc. and coach which has been expanding aggressively in china because of worries about a slowdown. can you imagine a kfc? similarly, owning a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping in their market is like taking a financial life in their own hands. how do you find out? companies as diverse as corning, 3m, ppg march to the beat of the asian drummer. you're not going to see it in the release. it's all in the pestering by analysts. pretty simple. listen to the call. and don't hang up until you've heard the last questions. you can read the transcript, so you can tell how worried the analysts are about the market that's didn't move the needle a few years ago. one final piece of the earnings puzle which is incredible. this is the earnings seasons that you have to weather something that i
it's like owning a piece of the great wall of china. you want to be in them when the great wall is crumbling. such a pervasive worry that i've seen down grades of stocks like yum because it's got a huge chinese business through kfc. and coach which has been expanding aggressively in china because of worries about a slowdown. can you imagine a kfc? similarly, owning a steel company without paying attention to what the chinese are dumping in their market is like taking a financial life in their...
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Dec 14, 2012
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Dec 24, 2012
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we know china's economy is on the mend. that's good news for mgm china. they have one resort right now but back in october mgm got permission to build a hotel and casino on the strip which is a huge new development of macau. it will take years to get this up and running. most don't expect it to open until 2016 or 2017 but gives mgm growth down the road. so the out years might be much better. that's it. growth guys love that stuff. mgm popped off lows. not caught the bottom here. if you wait for fiscal cliff related pullback, you probably will do better and you know they'll give us a couple. bottom line, in this uncertain environment, there's nothing better than a good old fashioned turn around story. mgm gives you a three headed turnaround. clean up the balance sheet, vegas is improving, china is growing too. bet on mgm when the fiscal cliff looms next strike and this as well as all other stocks get hammered. craig in my home state of new jersey. craig? >> caller: how are you doing? >> what's going on, partner? >> caller: calling about expedia. the recent
we know china's economy is on the mend. that's good news for mgm china. they have one resort right now but back in october mgm got permission to build a hotel and casino on the strip which is a huge new development of macau. it will take years to get this up and running. most don't expect it to open until 2016 or 2017 but gives mgm growth down the road. so the out years might be much better. that's it. growth guys love that stuff. mgm popped off lows. not caught the bottom here. if you wait for...
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Dec 1, 2012
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of the china's sales. we should think of yum as a chinese dog with an american tail. does this mean that china which has been showing signs of life is back sliding and all the big expansionist data we've been getting is a false tale? i'm putting it on the line for you tonight. absolutely not. too many good things happening in china. bank reserve injections have really stimulated industrial growth. i think china is going like this. as far as american companies linked with china, it's been a real mixed picture lately. nike has had a very nice run in the united states. but china's been a big disappointment, including concerns over too much inventory. coach is expanding rather rapidly in china. the latest weakness came from the united states, not china. starbucks. i think china is a growth story there frankly. the high quality problem of lines that are too long. i think we'll hear amazing things about china when howard schultz has his analyst conference in new york on december 5th. it will be a great con fab.
of the china's sales. we should think of yum as a chinese dog with an american tail. does this mean that china which has been showing signs of life is back sliding and all the big expansionist data we've been getting is a false tale? i'm putting it on the line for you tonight. absolutely not. too many good things happening in china. bank reserve injections have really stimulated industrial growth. i think china is going like this. as far as american companies linked with china, it's been a real...
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Dec 1, 2012
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nonfu springs in china. they go to a spring, bottle up water, put it in trucks to deliver to their constituents. that process was five hours. now with hana we have the transportation plan figured out. not from five hours, in 2 1/2 minutes. what does that mean? 30% lower transportation costs. 15% lower total costs for their company. 4% margin improvement across the enterprise. the winning strategy. >> yes, it is. but now i want to one up that. tell me what you've done for eric rubin and the nfl. i'm very tired. we have a commissioner here for fantasy football. sometimes i want to wring his neck. he says i can't get the download of the waiver wire for multiple hours. this is a rival website. what have you done for nfl.com? >> eric and roger goodell, these are great leaders. they know what to do for their fans. they want to improve the fan experience. >> they pick up the phone and they call you? i know you call everybody. >> they call me. exactly. or i'll call them. as long as we talk we can solve problems. now
nonfu springs in china. they go to a spring, bottle up water, put it in trucks to deliver to their constituents. that process was five hours. now with hana we have the transportation plan figured out. not from five hours, in 2 1/2 minutes. what does that mean? 30% lower transportation costs. 15% lower total costs for their company. 4% margin improvement across the enterprise. the winning strategy. >> yes, it is. but now i want to one up that. tell me what you've done for eric rubin and...
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Dec 14, 2012
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the china news is good. i like a and r. i like the cole names. the one beaten down has the most up side. >> simon. >> in video the table chip. >>> j.j. >> in the financial sector it's like a boxer that gets beat up day after day after day, it never goes down. with that being said, goldman sachs is a financial stock. >> what do you make of this argument that santolli was making, pete. you can get a sell on the news event if you get a deal on the fiscal krif. it's counter intuitive. >> if that were to happen, i agree with josh. i don't know that i see that in front of us. if that were to happen, i think that present a great opportunity. i look at the financials. goldman sachs, i look at all the financials. jpmorgan, goldman sachs, i like them. >> i totally get what mike's saying. it's an interesting thing to consider. it's definitely possible of course. my inclination would be a 1,000 point dow rally. there's so much pent up fear and skepticism. with that out of the way in addition to what the feds told us, which is low rates until we're dead, i ca
the china news is good. i like a and r. i like the cole names. the one beaten down has the most up side. >> simon. >> in video the table chip. >>> j.j. >> in the financial sector it's like a boxer that gets beat up day after day after day, it never goes down. with that being said, goldman sachs is a financial stock. >> what do you make of this argument that santolli was making, pete. you can get a sell on the news event if you get a deal on the fiscal krif. it's...
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Dec 5, 2012
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the china ftse. this is a place i think we're goings higher. >> gnat gas up 4%. >> got a beth of a boost. also from companies wanting to get a little more gassy. >> oh. >> well, they are. they want to get some of this natural gas offshore and i still like it. >> grasso? >> i bought mc, i bought ac steel and i bought big steel, leonard x. i've already sold all three. i've clipped my profit. i'm done for now. if the global economy is doing better, they will continue to go higher. >> up 7%, western digital. mike? >> accelerated dividend is one. >> and we've got a pop here for honey boo boo. >> what? >> what do secretary of state hillary clinton, chris christie and honey boo boo have in common? they've all been placed on barbara walters' most fascinating list. honey boo boo has her fair share of critics including adam lee convenient and south parks. she's sweet loving. look at that face. >> so that's not a sign? >> what? >> of the myan prophecy. >> i knew you were going there. >> that's scary. >> all rig
the china ftse. this is a place i think we're goings higher. >> gnat gas up 4%. >> got a beth of a boost. also from companies wanting to get a little more gassy. >> oh. >> well, they are. they want to get some of this natural gas offshore and i still like it. >> grasso? >> i bought mc, i bought ac steel and i bought big steel, leonard x. i've already sold all three. i've clipped my profit. i'm done for now. if the global economy is doing better, they will...
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Dec 13, 2012
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china is growing as a luxury buyer. and although their falloff, tiffany's had high profile warnings base and weaker china, they're going to grow % next year and on top of that the following year. how do you call it quilts here? >> the power gauge is my guide here. china retail sales were up 15% recently. that came out of the blue. you have to go with a disciplined approach to the stocks. if the power gauge is bearish, and it's not bearish on all, but if the power gauge is bearish, i think this is a great place to raise cash. >> we're showing charts and the gauges for tiffany as well as coach and they are very l leveraged to china. >> no doubt. >> the negative power gauge there. there is one stock that you brought with you, mark, that is positive in terms of the power gauge, and that is yahoo!, a pick of steve's for a long time. >> i like it for some of the same reasons. but the key here is they are hiring engineers. they bought on the air and the reason is they know these engineers from google. they've been terribly und
china is growing as a luxury buyer. and although their falloff, tiffany's had high profile warnings base and weaker china, they're going to grow % next year and on top of that the following year. how do you call it quilts here? >> the power gauge is my guide here. china retail sales were up 15% recently. that came out of the blue. you have to go with a disciplined approach to the stocks. if the power gauge is bearish, and it's not bearish on all, but if the power gauge is bearish, i think...
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Dec 17, 2012
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. >> in china. >> in china. with the second tier tellco player in china. they don't seen have to deal with the primary telco player which is china mobile. >> i'm going to fill in the blanks as we go. >> i feel like marvin lewis here. i guess i'm the straight guy again. in any event when they launch the iphone 5 more broadly they had 3 million units sold over a period of five days in multiple countries. here we are in one country. so the question is, number one, that couldn't have been your estimates, because apple didn't tell you that, and in your reanalysis, and number two, if they do sign the deal with china mobile, what's that do to your estimates and your outlook on the stock? >> so two things. one, yes, i think that 2 million unit number is good, and i think the language apple uses in the press release makes that very clear. with respect to china mobile, you have to look at it a couple of ways. apple already sells units on the china mobile network, just not officially through the network. peopl
. >> in china. >> in china. with the second tier tellco player in china. they don't seen have to deal with the primary telco player which is china mobile. >> i'm going to fill in the blanks as we go. >> i feel like marvin lewis here. i guess i'm the straight guy again. in any event when they launch the iphone 5 more broadly they had 3 million units sold over a period of five days in multiple countries. here we are in one country. so the question is, number one, that...
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Dec 10, 2012
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china's corporate criminals who are often inditing wishable. we don't want to give the chinesing nomic sift apple larger footprint into american capitalism. secondly, this makes a mock rift green energy policies. the main rational for which was we don't want these so-called industries of the future controlled by foreign countries and by foreign companies. and here we are, transferring all of this property over to a chinese company. and there was an american buyer. there was an american buyer. an american-owned option. >> on that point, alan, is there any sensitive technology or information that is going to be given to the chinese through this trance ak. >> that's a great question, mandy. you are broadcasting from northern jersey, right sni think you recently you learned how important electricity grids are, right? when you don't have electrical power bb life becomes very bad. a123 is making product that helps control the electricity grid system. do we want the chinese owning this technology? the possibility for sabotage is after t astro nom cal.
china's corporate criminals who are often inditing wishable. we don't want to give the chinesing nomic sift apple larger footprint into american capitalism. secondly, this makes a mock rift green energy policies. the main rational for which was we don't want these so-called industries of the future controlled by foreign countries and by foreign companies. and here we are, transferring all of this property over to a chinese company. and there was an american buyer. there was an american buyer....
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Dec 6, 2012
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if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >> dennis? >> joe brighton brings up the topic of a generational circumstance. going back a generation to me this reminds me of what happened in the early 1970s when you had the wonderful nifty 50 stocks you were supposed to own forever, all of which are wonderful companies -- >> 1970s or 1870s? >> i look like i was from the 1870s but apple is a wonderful company but not a good stock at this point. you have to be careful here. >> stephanie, what do you do, sitting there at home watching what all of us say as america's best loved stock, most valuable company on earth and watch it fall as far as it's f
if china mobile extracts big concessions to the u.s. providers, then go back and do the same. that's the principal issue. the other thing you're coming to the most important quarter in apple's recent memory and that's because you've had so many product launches coming in this last quarter they've really got to hit the cover off the ball. having said all that i still think apple long-term is a value play here, i still think it's a growth play, so it's just the right time to get in. >>...
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Dec 19, 2012
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china is the key to this story. i'm not a bull on china. if you are, that's the bull's case. >> pete, who made the more compelling argument in this case? >> i said beforehand i wasn't going toeith my brother. actual actually, i am. i tend to be a bull on china. i tend to be a bull on the global economy coming back in a big way. i think fedex is going to be the beneficiary. i think the icing on the cake is exactly what john put out there, which is the express. if they actually -- if that starts to come back better, i think the sky is the limit. >> we'll close the case on this one. there may be more optimism on housing, but one of the nation's most respected voices on that topic isn't ready to sound the all clear. it's robert shiller. he joins us on the fast line. welcome back. >> my pleasure. >> there's a lot of optimism about housing. what are we missing? >> a lot of people seem to think if the market turns around, that means more of the same, meaning another big boom. i don't think that's in the cards. we might see home prices go up a litt
china is the key to this story. i'm not a bull on china. if you are, that's the bull's case. >> pete, who made the more compelling argument in this case? >> i said beforehand i wasn't going toeith my brother. actual actually, i am. i tend to be a bull on china. i tend to be a bull on the global economy coming back in a big way. i think fedex is going to be the beneficiary. i think the icing on the cake is exactly what john put out there, which is the express. if they actually -- if...
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Dec 17, 2012
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and china did 2 million iphone 5s. europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android are catching up. we were just talking there. jon pointing out the other competition out there. stock down 25% in the last three months. you remain bullish though. why? >> i do. i think a lot of the selling has to do with capital gains taxes. i think it was from the 700 level. and then you had another wave of it with long-term capital gains taxes. fears of that after the election we think caused an issue. we think that's why the stock is down. we still think it's quite solid. >> what about the competitive environment? stewart, that's one you've been looking
and china did 2 million iphone 5s. europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android...
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Dec 19, 2012
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so you have china engineering a soft landing and starting to recover. you have europe away from the brink. greece got upgraded today. who would have thought it. that is what the market is looking at. saying okay. it is not going to be the worst kcase sharcenario, but you coul extend the middle class tax cuts and be done with it. it is in a recession. >> and i think the market would not like that very much. everybody is expecting that you get the middle class tax cuts done. >> and if you can get china and europe doing better. it is hard to be terribly bearish on the u.s. >> y are going to stay with our politico expert. this is a rally that has surprised experts. it hasn't been that easy to be optimistic. >> it is. i think you have to be cautious here. the probability that this could fall apart is very, very real. >> so, you have to be careful up at these levels as a trader. i have low exposure up here. i have protection. that is how you have to play this market. stay with us please. >> yesterday it looked like washington was inching towards a deal. but t
so you have china engineering a soft landing and starting to recover. you have europe away from the brink. greece got upgraded today. who would have thought it. that is what the market is looking at. saying okay. it is not going to be the worst kcase sharcenario, but you coul extend the middle class tax cuts and be done with it. it is in a recession. >> and i think the market would not like that very much. everybody is expecting that you get the middle class tax cuts done. >> and if...
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Dec 11, 2012
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things in china are settling out with the trance in addition that leadership and we see sequentialal improvement there. as we go into '13, we see a very strong story for did you possibility. we see strength in agriculture, nutrition, advanced materials, industrial biosciences. those businesses' earnings will be up in the high teens here year over year. that will be overshadowed by a cyclical business. our performance chemical segments, going to lose six to seven points of margin in 2013 versus 2012, so when you add it all up, we believe next year we'll see low to mid single digit earnings improvement. >> does any of this include expectations about the fiscal cliff? i mean, if we go over the fiscal cliff and don't have a debt deal by year end, what you will to cut jobs? what's the impact on dupont if we don't get a resolution in time in. >> it's hard to predict because it's hard to know. i do think if there's an issue and we don't avert a cliff i think we as a country will react quickly. i criit will have an impact. i along with many of my peers have been advocating very strongly to r
things in china are settling out with the trance in addition that leadership and we see sequentialal improvement there. as we go into '13, we see a very strong story for did you possibility. we see strength in agriculture, nutrition, advanced materials, industrial biosciences. those businesses' earnings will be up in the high teens here year over year. that will be overshadowed by a cyclical business. our performance chemical segments, going to lose six to seven points of margin in 2013 versus...
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Dec 26, 2012
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it's very good for china. but of course, the fiscal cliff will have a huge impact on where emerging markets and the rest of the world goes this year. i think if you really want to play it smart, you look at consumer-facing businesses, health care technology, emerging markets. you can't lose. >> well, ron, that's what i was going to ask you. you brought up india and the rising consumer is such a big piece of the growth story there. can you drill down for me more on how we can tap into that and capitalize on it? >> absolutely. so here's the issue with the consumer. obviously the consumer story is the biggest thing for the emerging markets. that's the story for the next decade at least. the issue is that a lot of the adrs that we can trade don't really touch the consumer as much as we'd like. there are a few. on the technology side, we like a number of stocks, like we like china mobile. that's chl. that gives you the emerging consumer, that's really moving into mobile. we like qihu. that's a stock that really get
it's very good for china. but of course, the fiscal cliff will have a huge impact on where emerging markets and the rest of the world goes this year. i think if you really want to play it smart, you look at consumer-facing businesses, health care technology, emerging markets. you can't lose. >> well, ron, that's what i was going to ask you. you brought up india and the rising consumer is such a big piece of the growth story there. can you drill down for me more on how we can tap into that...
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Dec 14, 2012
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it's expensive. $850 in china, $650 here. you know, it's expensive for a lot of people in china. we're going to leave it there. thank you very much to will and john. >>> all right. on deck. the charity cliff. will your chart tanl donations be taken away from you if we go past january 1 with no deal? we're going to find out from one of the biggest charities in america coming up. >>> once again, everybody, this is a live scene. a look in newtown, connecticut, at an elementary school. sandy hook elementary. where nbc news says 18 children, 8 adults, plus the gunman have been killed at one of the worst school shootings in american history. we've heard some comments, john harwood, from jay carney, the white house spokesman sort of talked about it. can we expect an official statement or press conference from the president about this tragedy? >> i think it's likely we'll hear from the president, probably in person, if not in a written statement. what jay carney said on his behalf was that he, like every parent, expresses enormous sympathy for the tragedy that's going on in connecticut r
it's expensive. $850 in china, $650 here. you know, it's expensive for a lot of people in china. we're going to leave it there. thank you very much to will and john. >>> all right. on deck. the charity cliff. will your chart tanl donations be taken away from you if we go past january 1 with no deal? we're going to find out from one of the biggest charities in america coming up. >>> once again, everybody, this is a live scene. a look in newtown, connecticut, at an elementary...
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Dec 19, 2012
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>> what you heard out of china, a government official in china said last month, he was quoted until saying, if we continue bi bailing these companies out in china, it's giving a patient poison to quench their thirst. you had a bailout of sun tech, a bailout of another chinese company and you've had multiple bailouts since then. you have massive oversupply in this market. you need companies to go out of business. what china is doing, they are coming in and bachling them out. thus this capacity that needs to be reduced is continuing to grow. so, we think capacity in china is going to row. you have much more supply than the demand. we continue to see price pressure. >> gordon, one of your competitors, i think tend of november, has a $50 price target on the stock. mentioned their cash flow. i'm not asking you to talk about their call but can you talk about their cash flow? do they have a healthy situation? >> that's a good point. where the projects they have, they will have the cash. but once the projects are over, if you look at first solar's earnings over the past four quarters, quarters whe
>> what you heard out of china, a government official in china said last month, he was quoted until saying, if we continue bi bailing these companies out in china, it's giving a patient poison to quench their thirst. you had a bailout of sun tech, a bailout of another chinese company and you've had multiple bailouts since then. you have massive oversupply in this market. you need companies to go out of business. what china is doing, they are coming in and bachling them out. thus this...
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Dec 20, 2012
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it's doing brutal in china and in terms of sales, they're used to double-digit gains in china. they saw double-digit negatives in china. so, the take away is, they're managing their business extremely well, despite weakness in china and north america is strong right now, so, if you believe in the thesis that the u.s. growth will be outstripping a lot of parts of the world, than nike looks pretty good right now. >> thank you for that, brian. and so some degree, we knew about the weakness in china, talked about inventories in china. >> we suffered the china weakness in the june quarter. that's where these guys -- they missed, they got destroyed that day and this is a company that has actually typically beat it over the last two years. but china is 11% of their sales. as much as it's exciting to talk about nike in china, this is not their holy grail. they still need to compete. the u.s. is 37% of sales. europe is 17% of sales. at 20 times earnings, these guys with 20% roe, these guys are worth owning here and 2% div. broke through 100, the stock actually looks like it's breaking o
it's doing brutal in china and in terms of sales, they're used to double-digit gains in china. they saw double-digit negatives in china. so, the take away is, they're managing their business extremely well, despite weakness in china and north america is strong right now, so, if you believe in the thesis that the u.s. growth will be outstripping a lot of parts of the world, than nike looks pretty good right now. >> thank you for that, brian. and so some degree, we knew about the weakness...
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Dec 12, 2012
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. >> fxi, china on the long side. >> that does it for us. catch the documentary tonight, behind closed doors at mariott, start at okay. >>> "halftime" is over. second half of the trading day starts now. >> absolutely. spend the night in a hotel with scott walker tonight at 9:00. ats he froo free. fed leaving interest rates the same but that's not the news. there is a new bond buying program and making an historic move keeping interest rates down low so long as unemployment rates stays above 6.5%. tying the rate it an economic trigger. an date. fed chief bernanke gearing up in about an hour's time. apple moving into your living room. yes, sir. tech tightian reportedly closer to testing several tv set designs. will it be the game-changer that so many have been waiting on? and you heard it here on cnbc. j.p. morgan's jamie dimon. taking about the fiscal cliff. do they expect a deal? their take on what happens if we do go over. my partner sue at the new york stock exchange. my partner sue with big interviewes this hour. >> that's right, ty. i sp
. >> fxi, china on the long side. >> that does it for us. catch the documentary tonight, behind closed doors at mariott, start at okay. >>> "halftime" is over. second half of the trading day starts now. >> absolutely. spend the night in a hotel with scott walker tonight at 9:00. ats he froo free. fed leaving interest rates the same but that's not the news. there is a new bond buying program and making an historic move keeping interest rates down low so long...
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okay, you renounce the 35-hour week or we take your jobs and we send them to hungary, poland, if not china. >> so there should be huge political support then to change it. >> um, there is not a huge political support to change it. >> why not? >> because it's seen as a sort of entitlement now. >> people see it as their right. >> exactly. >> "i'm only gonna work 35 hours a week and that's it." >> exactly. >> no, no, no! >> so no french politician would even dare to suggest fundamental reform, like trimming that guaranteed five weeks of vacation. and american melchior ray has been won over. she's talked herself into the idea that the french way of working, rather, not working, translates into good economic sense. >> people came back, and it was like everyone had had ten shots of espresso. they were just ready to go. they were like ever ready bunnies. everyone was going tog
okay, you renounce the 35-hour week or we take your jobs and we send them to hungary, poland, if not china. >> so there should be huge political support then to change it. >> um, there is not a huge political support to change it. >> why not? >> because it's seen as a sort of entitlement now. >> people see it as their right. >> exactly. >> "i'm only gonna work 35 hours a week and that's it." >> exactly. >> no, no, no! >> so...